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Monday, July 18, 2011

Commodity Market Tips


Bullion prices held onto small gains after an industry health check aimed at reviving investor confidence showed that eight European banks are not strong enough to withstand a prolonged recession and need to raise 2.5 billion euros in capital. Gold's gains appeared limited after U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said on Thursday the central bank was prepared to act if the recovery faltered, but made clear the Fed was not at that point. 

Now technically market is trading in the range as RSI for 18days is currently indicating 67.28, where as 50DMA is at 22467.24 and gold is trading above the same and getting support at 23023 and below could see a test of 22976 level, And resistance is now likely to be seen at 23104, a move above could see prices testing 23138.

Trading Ideas:
Gold trading range is 22976-23138.
Gold gained as some began to seek a hedge against the growing threat of a catastrophic U.S. govt default
Gold looks to take support at 22873 and resistance at 23072.
Spdr gold trust holdings rose by 10.60 tonnes to 1236.01 tonnes.

Silver gained higher as worries over U.S. and European nation debt issues intensified. Ratings agency Standard & Poor's warned there is a one-in-two chance it could cut the United States' prized AAA credit rating if a deal on raising the government's debt ceiling is not agreed soon. Holdings of the largest gold-backed exchange-traded-fund (ETF), New York's SPDR Gold Trust and that of the largest silver-backed ETF, New York's iShares Silver Trust remained unchanged.

Silver is completing a strong up week at 58473. Key resistance is nearby at 59200 from the May reactionary high post bubble bounce. Above here we run into the 50% bubble bounce level at 61000. We now see good support for silver near 56800. The gold silver ratio broke the down side of our two month consolidation triangle this week at 41.40. The ratio has continued lower to current 40.75. 

While below the former triangle support we see risk for a drop back to 39.22. Now technically market is trading in the range as RSI for 18days is currently indicating 65.64, where as 50DMA is at 54946.44 and silver is trading above the same and getting support at 58262 and below could see a test of 58051 level, And resistance is now likely to be seen at 58622, a move above could see prices testing 58771.

Trading Ideas:
Silver trading range is 58051-58771.
Silver gained higher as worries over U.S. and European nation debt issues intensified
Silver is having resistance at 58651 and support at 57036 level.
In spot silver looks to hold support at 38.20$ and getting resistance at 40.20$ level. 

Crude rose lifted by lower oil supplies from Canada and higher U.S. equities, to post their third straight weekly gains, outweighing the day's bleak economic reports. Germany and Italy are expected to oppose any second release of emergency oil reserves by the International Energy Agency, which needs the backing of all 28 members if it is to pour more oil on a volatile crude market. Libya is not ready to start pumping oil from fields held by rebels in the east of the country. Oil gains on U.S debt fears, low inflation. Moody’s Investors Service put the U.S. 

Aaa credit rating on review for a downgrade on July 13 citing concern officials won’t raise the nation’s $14.3 trillion debt limit in time to prevent a missed payment. Now technically market is trading in the range as RSI for 18days is currently indicating 50.48, where as 50DMA is at 4379.92 and crude is trading below the same and getting support at 4322 and below could see a test of 4314 level, And resistance is now likely to be seen at 4335, a move above could see prices testing 4340.

Trading Ideas:
Crude trading range is 4314-4340.
Crude rose lifted by lower oil supplies from Canada and higher U.S. equities
Crude looks to test support at 4253 and resistance is seen at 4356.
Germany and Italy are expected to oppose any second release of emergency oil reserves by the IEA. 

Copper ended up showing a further resilience to bend amid macro-economic concerns and a still-uncertain Asian demand outlook. Copper's positive tone continued to decouple from the broader base complex as prices maintained momentum near last week's 3-month high, as supply-side risks remained in place and investors continued to pin their hopes on a second-half demand revival in China. 

Copper held on to its gains late in the session after results of European bank stress tests showed 8 of 90 banks had failed, roughly in line with expectations. The tests did not build in the impact of a Greek default, and all big banks passed. 

Copper inventories in warehouses monitored by the Shanghai Futures Exchange rose 22.3 percent from last Friday, the exchange said on Friday. Copper yesterday traded with the positive node and settled 0.02% up at 435. Some support had been seen from the LME stock also which came up by 0mt, the total stock at LME is now at 462025mt.

In yesterday's trading session copper has touched the low of 434.75 after opening at 434.8, and finally settled at 435. For today's session market is looking to take support at 434.8, a break below could see a test of 434.5 and where as resistance is now likely to be seen at 435.3, a move above could see prices testing 435.5.

Trading Ideas:
Copper trading range is 434.5-435.5.
Copper gained showing resilience to bend amid macroeconomic concerns and uncertain Asian demand outlook
Copper is taking resistance at 437.10 and support is seen at 431.70.
Copper inventories in warehouses monitored by the Shanghai Futures Exchange rose 22.3 percent.

Zinc prices gained as monthly rate of the US industrial output rose 0.2% in June supporting the prices. Zinc prices made some headway in June and are expected to remain resilient in coming months, even though the market is in clear supply surplus and inventories will continue to rise.

Sunday, June 26, 2011

Mcx Trial Tips For Today


In yesterday's trading session Crude Palm oil has touched the low of 482.5 after opening at 482.5, and finally settled at 485.6. For today's session market is looking to take support at 483.3, a break below could see a test of 481 and where as resistance is now likely to be seen at 487.1, a move above could see prices testing 488.6.

Trading Ideas mcx tips :
Crude Palm Oil trading range is 481-488.6.
Crude palm oil prices moved up on the back of a rise in spot market demand
Resistance for crude palm oil is at 487.10 level
Support for crude palm oil is at 483.30 level.

Crude palm oil prices in spot market dropped by rupees 1.10 and settled at 483.40 rupees. 
Wheat yesterday traded with the negative node and settled -0.66% down at 1168.8 tracking weakness in spot market. 

The pre-monsoon showers have drenched wheat stocks in several places in Punjab and Haryana and the cycle of rot has begun once again. Punjab and Haryana account for more than 60 per cent of India's total food grain produced every year. In Delhi wheat prices dropped -4.5 rupee to end at 1175.3 rupees per 10 kg. 

In yesterday's trading session Wheat has touched the low of 1168 after opening at 1175.6, and finally settled at 1168.8. For today's session market is looking to take support at 1165.8, a break below could see a test of 1162.8 and where as resistance is now likely to be seen at 1174, a move above could see prices testing 1179.2.

Trading Ideas for commodity tips :
Wheat trading range is 1162.8-1179.2.
Wheat yesterday traded with the negative node and settled 0.66% down tracking weakness in spot market
Wheat is having resistance at 1174 and support at 1165.80 level.
NCDEX accredited warehouses wheat stocks rose by 229 tonnes to 33047 tonnes. 
In Delhi wheat prices dropped -4.5 rupee to end at 1175.3 rupees per 10 kg. 

Mustardseed yesterday traded with the positive node and settled 0.56% up at 2886 on short covering tracking gains in other oilseed counters. The total arrivals of mustard seed decreased by 10000 bags from the previous day to 1.20 lakh bags in major mandies. 

In the Sriganganagar spot market in Rajasthan the price edged down by -8.75 rupee to 2770 rupees per 20 kgs. In yesterday's trading session Mustardseed has touched the low of 2852 after opening at 2866, and finally settled at 2886. 

For today's session market is looking to take support at 2862, a break below could see a test of 2838 and where as resistance is now likely to be seen at 2900, a move above could see prices testing 2914.

Trading Ideas:
Mustard Seed trading range is 2838-2914.
Mustardseed yesterday traded with positive node on short covering tracking gains in other oilseed counters
Mustardseed looks to take support at 2862 and resistance at 2900.
NCDEX accredited warehouses mustardseed stocks rose by 162 tonnes to 177531 tonnes. 
In the Sriganganagar spot market in Rajasthan the price edged down by -8.75 rupee to 2770 rupees per 20 kgs.

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