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Tuesday, February 1, 2011

Sureshot Commodity tips trial


The domestic bourses ended the trading session on a positive note as the benchmark indices pared almost all of the hefty losses incurred during the morning trade. The market started off the session deep into the negative terrain, as the broader indices witnessed a huge gap down opening tracking weak global cues. The Asian stocks plunged significantly following negative cues from the Wall Street which closed lower on Friday and due to gains in yen and dollar on speculation that Egypt’s crisis will slow down the global economic recovery.

Soon after the bearish start, the market dragged further before finding support near the 5,410 Nifty level. Though weakness prevailed among the Asian bourses, the domestic market started paring its losses gradually. Despite of huge volatility, the benchmarks were seen inching towards the baseline. The recovery came in as buying interest was witnessed among the Capital Goods, Power, Oil&Gas and Auto stocks. Finally, the market closed with mild losses. The negative opening for the European bourses had limited impact in the domestic front.

In the sectoral front, the Capital Goods, Power and Oil&Gas space were the major contributors to the market recovery from the morning slump and they gained by 3.26%, 1.31% and 1.22% respectively. However, the Realty and FMCG sectors remained weak, declining by 2.23% and 2% respectively. Both the Nifty and Sensex witnessed huge volatility throughout the session and finally closed with mild losses near the session highs. The negative closing for the US markets on Friday weighed heavily on the domestic market, dampening the morning sentiment. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) closed with a loss of 166.13 points or 1.39% at 11,823.70, while NASDAQ index finished lower by 68.39 points or 2.48% to 2,686.89. The S&P 500 (SPX) closed down by 23.20 points or 1.79% to 1,276.34.

Among the Sensex pack, 17 stocks ended in negative while 13 ended in the positive terrain. The overall market breadth reflected similar weakness, as out of total 3,006 stocks traded on BSE, 1,643 stocks declined, whereas 1,183 stocks advanced and 180 stocks remained unchanged.

The BSE Sensex closed down by 68.21 points or (0.37%) at 18,327.76 and NSE Nifty ended lower by 6.25 points or (0.11%) at 5,505.90. BSE Midcap closed with a loss of 30.02 points or (0.44%) at 6,868.35 while BSE Smallcap closed lower by 68.47 points or (0.80%) at 8,477.82. The BSE Sensex touched intraday high of 18,395.09 and intraday low of 18,038.48.

Gainers from the BSE Sensex pack were – ONGC (3.69%), BHEL (2.98%), Hindalco Inds (2.73%), L&T (2.19%), M&M (2.18%) and Maruti Suz (1.56%).

Losers from the BSE Sensex pack were – JP Assoc (4.69%), ITC (3.18%), HDFC (2.73%), Bharti Artl (2.61%), Rel Infra (2.31%), TCS (2.15%) and Rel Comm (2.00%).

On the macroeconomic front, India is eyed a lucrative destination for investment by the private equity player. The reason attributing are the sound economic growth and the increasing domestic demand. The sectors like power, infrastructure, energy, real estate and healthcare are going to drive the investment in the coming period. "Strong self consumption driven by the great Indian middle class and consistent economic growth ranked higher in respondent''s minds as reason for a more favourable investment environment now as compared to 2007," the report said. Further, the report noted that almost "a third of the respondents believed India shall perform better than both China and Brazil ".

India is likely to sign the Comprehensive Economic Cooperation Agreement with Malaysia to strengthen and boost trade and economic activities between the two countries and to emerge with new areas of trade and economic cooperation. Both the countries look for an enhanced scope coverage and outset the Free-Trade Agreement (FTA) which focuses on goods, services and investments.

In order to put a check on the rising inflation in the country, the government has decided to reduce the prevailing import duties on the food items. As the reduction in the import duty will help in decreasing the food inflation in the country. If the same is not achieved India will further decline the import duties in order to control the rising food prices.

On the global markets front, almost all the major indices in Asia ended on a negative note. The Jakarta Composite, Seoul Composite, Straits Times, Nikkei225 and Hang Seng declined by 2.25% at 3,409.17, 1.81% at 2,069.73, 1.55% at 3,179.72, 1.18% at 10,237.92 and 0.72% at 23,447.34 respectively. However, the Shanghai Composite inclined by 1.35% at 2,789.82.

European markets, which opened after the Indian market were trading on a negative note. Key benchmark indices like – CAC 40 was trading lower by 0.51% at 3,982.05, in Frankfurt, DAX index was trading down by 0.55% at 7,063.58 and FTSE 100 declined by 0.67% at 5,842.14.

The BSE CG index was at 13,526.03 up by 426.85 points or by (3.26%). The main gainers were Siemens (17.32%), Crompton Greaves (6.48%), ABB (5.81%), Bharat Elec (3.70%) and Alstom Projects (3.29%).

Thank you,

Tuesday, January 4, 2011

Commodity Trading Tips

Currently commodities markets in India are trading with a mixed trend. At MCX future, 3 out of 4 indexes are showing an upward trend. At MCX futures, MCXCOMDEX is trading at 3,347.44, up by 0.68%, MCXENERGY is trading at 2,978.97, up by 1.29% and MCXMETAL is trading at 4,291.20, up by 0.57% while MCXAGRI is currently trading at 2,866.34, down by 0.27% (At 3:16 P.M today)

At NCDEX, the Dhaanya, an agri commodity benchmark index, is currently trading at 1,093.16, up by 0.36%. (At today)

On the domestic front, Cardamom is trading higher in future trading today as speculators enlarged their positions on the back of firming trend at the spot market on pick up in demand. At MCX future, Cardamom for January contract is trading at Rs 1,601.90, up by 0.70 per cent, Cardamom for February contract is trading at Rs 1,638.00, up by 1.31 per cent and Cardamom for March contract is trading at Rs 1,653.40, up by 1.85 per cent. (At today)

Mentha Oil prices decreased in future trading today as speculators preferred to lock in gains, driven by subdued demand in the spot market at higher level. At MCX future, Mentha Oil for January contract is trading at Rs 1,192.40, down by 1.40 per cent and Mentha Oil for February contract is trading at Rs 1,199.20 down by 1.32 per cent. (At today)

Supported by a firm trend at global markets on signs of US economic recovery, Copper prices increased in future trade today. At MCX future, Copper for February contract is trading at Rs 444.45, up by 1.11 per cent and Copper for April contract is trading at Rs 447.45, up by 1.11 per cent. (At today)

The top gainers at MCX future are Natural Gas for January contract (2.62%), Natural Gas for February contract (2.43%), Natural Gas for March contract (2.31%), Cardamom for April contract (1.96%) and Cardamom for March contract (1.78%) (At today)

Similarly the top losers at MCX future are Mentha Oil for January contract (-1.54%), Mentha Oil for February contract (-1.46%), Mentha Oil for March contract (-1.34%), Potato TRWR for March contract (-0.96%) and Potato for April contract (-0.38%). (At today)

The top gainers at NCDEX future are Coriander for March contract (3.7%), Coriander for February contract (3.6%), Coriander for January contract (3.3%), Chilli for April contract (3.1%) and Guar Gum for June contract (2.8%). (At today)

Similarly the top losers at NCDEX future are Guar Gum for May contract (-1.6%), Steel Long for April contract (-1.3%), Turmeric for May contract (-1.2%), Kapas for February contract (-1.1%) and Steel Long for January contract (-1.1%). (At today)

On the domestic arena, at MCX future, Crude Oil for January contract is trading at Rs 4,121.00 against Previous close price of Rs 4,087.00 (up by 0.83%). (At today)

Gold for February contract is trading at Rs 20,769.00 against Previous close price of Rs 20,750.00 (up by 0.09%). (At today)

Natural gas for January contract is trading at Rs 204.20 against Previous close price of Rs 198.80 (up by 2.72%). (At today)

Silver for March contract is trading at Rs 46,475.00 against Previous close price of Rs 46,264.00 (up by 0.46%) (At today)

On the domestic front, the Reserve Bank of India has allowed 7 more banks to import gold and silver. With this, the total number of banks that can ship precious metals in the country has increased to 30.

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